The Black Swan; The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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ISBN: 9780141034591
Author : Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Published: 2008
Publisher: Penguin
Number of pages: 400
Language: English
Format: Paperback

Description

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

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